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Earth Optimization Services Pitch

Keywords

war-on-disease, 1-percent-treaty, medical-research, public-health, peace-dividend, decentralized-trials, dfda, dih, victory-bonds, health-economics, cost-benefit-analysis, clinical-trials, drug-development, regulatory-reform, military-spending, peace-economics, decentralized-governance, wishocracy, blockchain-governance, impact-investing

Expected Value

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  EV = probability x value             |
|                                       |
|  [ plot of land ]                     |
|                                       |
|  10% chance: $100,000 gold inside     |
|                                       |
|  EV = 10%  x  $100,000               |
|     = $10,000                    [x]  |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

There’s this thing called expected value whereby if you multiply the chance of something happening by the value of it happening, you get the expected value. So let’s say there’s like a plot of land and you know there’s like a 10% chance that there’s $100,000 worth of gold underneath it. The value of that land would be 10% times $100,000 potential value equals $10,000 expected value.

The Hell Calculation

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  [ eternal suffering ]                |
|                                       |
|  probability(hell)  =  0.00001%       |
|                                       |
|  expected value     =  0.00001%       |
|                     x  -infinity      |
|                     =  -infinity      |
|                                       |
|  worth any finite cost to prevent     |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

There’s a non-zero possibility that hell exists and you and everyone you love is going to die and burn in it for eternity. As it is very hot in hell, this would be unfortunate.

Additionally, when I was a kid my great-grandfather had Alzheimer’s disease or something and he looked like he was in hell. All the time. He was miserable and he was like this for very many years. And so there’s this thing called time dilation whereby when you’re dreaming a few minutes can seem like a few hours. There’s like a drug called salvia divinorum where some people have taken it and they said they felt like they were being crushed to death for millennia. Okay, so there’s no way to disprove the possibility that your brain’s going to get messed up in a manner that causes you great pain and confusion for perceptually an indefinite amount of time. Very very very very long time, maybe eternity. So this is like kind of a possibility of a hell on Earth. So even if it is highly unlikely that this occurs, like even if there’s 0.00001% chance of this occurring, the expected value of this is infinity terrible.

The Heaven Calculation

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  [ indefinite pleasant existence ]    |
|                                       |
|  probability(good)  =  0.00001%       |
|                                       |
|  expected value     =  0.00001%       |
|                     x  +infinity      |
|                     =  +infinity      |
|                                       |
|  worth any finite cost to pursue      |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

Okay, there’s this thing called biotechnology. So I don’t know if you’ve ever taken any drugs. I certainly haven’t. But I hear tell that they can make you feel very good. Okay, so this tells me that humans through the ability of manipulating atoms and molecules in their brains can make themselves feel very good. Additionally, due to the phenomenon of time dilation, it is apparently possible through some sort of mysterious biochemical action, time can be extended. Perception of time can be extended. And additionally there are numerous animals or living things that are immortal, like jellyfish. This tells me with sufficient resources and effort and scientists, one could figure out how to produce a very nice, pleasant experience for an indefinitely long period of time. Okay so these are your options. So like the expected value of doing this, given that it can go on for an unlimited period of time, is infinitely good. Even if there is an extremely low probability that anything I’m saying is true and we can achieve this. Even if there’s 0.00001% chance that this is possible, the expected value is infinite goodness.

Two Infinities

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  value of preventing hell  = +infinity |
|  value of achieving heaven = +infinity |
|                                       |
|  total = two infinities of motivation |
|                                       |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

So your job as President of Earth Optimization Services has 2 infinities of importance. One positive minus one negative.

Everyone Is Retarded

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  SMART    [##################]        |
|  dolphins [####..............]        |
|  humans   [###...............]        |
|  monkeys  [##................]        |
|  snails   [#.................]        |
|                                       |
|  (perfect info + logic = 100%)        |
|                                       |
|  everyone is retarded relative to     |
|  perfect rationality                  |
|  (especially the people in charge)    |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

Okay so there’s these other things on Earth called humans and like they’re all kind of stupid. Like there is this thing called information and logic. And so if you have perfect information and perfect logic, that is what I would consider to be called smart. So if you enjoy these two things, my hat’s off to you and I would definitely like to meet you. But my theory is no such human exists. This means that all humans suffer from some degree of relative mental retardation relative to smartness. So if you hold your hand up by the top of your head, let’s say that’s smartness. Then humans… so like snails might be down around your shoes or something. And then monkeys might be somewhere around the middle of your shin. And then humans might be a little bit above that. And then maybe dolphins are a little bit above the humans. Okay, so humans are like varying degrees of retarded.

You Pay $36.5 trillion a Year for Health and Wealth and Get War and Disease

YOU PAY $36.5 trillion A YEAR FOR HEALTH AND WEALTH AND GET WAR AND DISEASE

  YOU PAY:         $36.5 trillion / yr
  FORCED SERVICE:  general welfare

  Since 1900: $170 trillion spent murdering
  310 million of their own employers.

  Any other employee:  terminated.
  These guys:          a $1T raise every year.

So apparently someone decided it’s necessary to murder them on occasion. Like we made this thing called governments that are supposed to promote the general welfare, which is I guess median health and wealth. Or more specifically if you want to measure it, median health-adjusted life expectancy and median after-tax inflation-adjusted income. So theoretically, if you were running one of these governments, you would measure these things. Then you would try to make policies and allocate resources to different activities and then see which ones maximized these two measurable outcomes which you are trying to improve. For some reason governments do not do this. We have like 195 countries and hundreds of years of data about different public policies and budget allocations and so we can analyze this and determine which policies maximize the health and wealth of the population and then we could like just do those policies.

I have done this and like relative to the optimal policies that could be implemented, Earth currently wastes about $101 trillion a year on idiotic policies. So this compounds. And so these governments that we pay about $36.5 trillion a year to provide this service of promoting general welfare for us, since 1900 they have spent $170 trillion of this murdering 310 million of their employers, which I feel would be grounds for termination probably under any employment contract any human has ever signed on Earth. But for some reason we just keep giving them an extra $36.5 trillion every year. So they suck at it.

Why Are They So Bad At It?

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  SKILL A: getting into the room       |
|  --------------------------------     |
|  lying, schmoozing, fundraising       |
|  government SELECTS FOR THIS          |
|                                       |
|  SKILL B: making good decisions       |
|  --------------------------------     |
|  data, logic, second-order effects    |
|  government does NOT select for this  |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

So the question is why do they suck so much? So the reason they suck at it is because the humans are retarded that are running it. The humans that are good at getting in charge of deciding what policies and budgets to have are not necessarily good at deciding policies and budgets, but they are smart, or relatively less retarded, at taking the actions required to get themselves into the boardrooms or buildings where these decisions are made. There’s a common misconception that there is such thing as smartness and that the people who are making these decisions are smart. But history books are a catalog of humans being retarded for a very long time and then occasionally becoming slightly less retarded.

Your Government Runs Without Feedback

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  closed loop (your oven):        [x]  |
|                                       |
|  input --> process --> output         |
|    ^                     |            |
|    +------- sensor ------+            |
|                                       |
|  open loop (war on drugs):            |
|                                       |
|  "end drugs" --> $1T --> [???]        |
|                       (no sensor)     |
|                       (no feedback)   |
|                                       |
|  deaths: 1,000 -> 107,000 / yr        |
|  adjustment: none. 53 years.          |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

So the question is not just why they make bad decisions. It is why they keep making the same bad decision after the evidence is in. Your oven has a sensor. It measures the temperature, compares it to what you asked for, and adjusts until they match. Every machine you own does this. Your air conditioner, your cruise control, your refrigerator, your toilet. The toilet knows when to stop filling. Your government does not know when to stop filling.

The War on Drugs: roughly $50 billion a year for 53 years. Overdose deaths went from about 1,000 a year to about 107,000 a year. No sensor. No adjustment. The budget increased.

The reason there is no sensor is that the people whose job it is to install one are also the people who profit from the temperature being wrong. The pharmaceutical industry does not profit from cures. The weapons industry does not profit from peace. The lobbying industry does not profit from a government that works. The sensor would end their business model. So there is no sensor. Earth Optimization Services installs the thermostat.

Ethyl Gasoline Corporation (1924)

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  OPTION A: ethanol                    |
|  -> no patent -> no extra money       |
|  -> nobody gets brain damage          |
|                                       |
|  OPTION B: tetraethyl lead (patent)   |
|  -> royalties              [chosen]   |
|  -> IQ drops 10 pts globally          |
|  -> massive crime wave                |
|  -> trillions in lost GDP             |
|                                       |
|  chose B.  for 70 years.              |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

So one example is the case of the Ethyl Gasoline Corporation. So in 1924 they had cars. They put gasoline in the engines. Made them go. But there’s a problem because gasoline combusted prematurely and messed up the engines over time. It was called knocking. You had two options here. One, you put ethanol in the gasoline to prevent this knocking and messing up the engines. Or you could put this thing called tetraethyl lead in the gasoline to prevent the problem. The benefits of using tetraethyl lead in the gasoline were that the Ethyl Gasoline Corporation, a joint venture of General Motors and DuPont, had a patent on tetraethyl lead so they made a lot of money off of licensing this. Like putting all this lead in the gas which solved the knocking problem. Okay, the problem is it made everyone increasingly retarded. It decreased human IQ on average 10 points, resulted in a great deal of crime which is very costly to society. And a scientist named Clair Patterson discovered this and said, you know, it would be preferable if you kind of like didn’t make everyone retarded and used ethanol instead. Millions of dollars, possibly billions in today’s money, were spent lobbying and controlling the government so that they could continue to put lead in gasoline and give themselves brain damage and everyone they ever loved brain damage. And so they did this for about 70 years up until 1996 when eventually human retardation declined sufficiently to terminate this practice.

Nobody Was Even Trying to Be Evil

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  shareholders of Ethyl Corp:          |
|  would have been 20-60% richer        |
|  if they had never used the lead      |
|                                       |
|  they hurt themselves                 |
|  they hurt everyone they loved        |
|  nobody made them stop                |
|                                       |
|  for 70 years                         |
|  because: assumed the people in       |
|  charge were not retarded             |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

So there’s an important lesson here. A lot of people attribute this problem to selfishness and greed, like the diffuse costs of everybody being retarded and the global economy losing tens or hundreds of trillions of dollars in potential GDP from everyone not being so retarded. If you do the math, even the shareholders of Ethyl Gasoline Corporation would have been 23.2% (95% CI: 8.41%-52.4%) richer if they had used that money spent on making everyone retarded and manipulating the government to allow them to continue making everyone retarded, instead on things that are useful to society such as biomedical research. In the long run, they had to do this transition anyway, and in the long run even they themselves would have been vastly richer for not doing this. But for the fact that people assumed that the people in charge were not retarded.

Ignaz Semmelweis

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  1847: wash hands before delivery     |
|  -> maternal death rate: 18% -> 2%   |
|                                       |
|  doctors: offended                    |
|  reward for discovery: asylum         |
|  then: beaten to death by guards      |
|                                       |
|  result: millions of preventable      |
|  deaths over decades                  |
|  reason: unwashed hands               |
|                                       |
|  calibrate your trust accordingly     |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

A doctor named Ignaz Semmelweis discovered that if you wash your goddamn hands before delivering a baby, there was only like a 2% chance the mother and the baby would die of sepsis after the delivery. He instituted this rule in his hospitals. The doctors, being retarded, were offended by the suggestion that they were filthy and causing their patients to die. As a reward for this discovery, they put him in a mental institution and the guards beat him to death. They then continued to not wash their hands before delivering babies, killing tens or maybe hundreds of millions of mothers and babies because they didn’t want to wash their goddamn hands.

The reason I tell you this story is because you need to stop assuming the people in charge know what they are doing. Scientists and math and data is smarter than the gut instincts of whatever humans happen to be good enough at lying their way into power.

Disease Is Ethyl Corp at Civilizational Scale

DISEASE IS ETHYL CORP AT CIVILIZATIONAL SCALE

  4 billion sick right now.
  550 million full-time caregivers.
  Total cost: $14.9 trillion (95% CI: $11.9 trillion-$18.3 trillion) / yr.

  Possible drug-disease combos:  9.5 million
  Tested:                        32,500  (0.342% (95% CI: 0%-1%))
  Queue at 15/yr:               443 years

  Pentagon unaccounted:  $2.46 trillion
  = 547 years of clinical trials in a black hole.

The war industry is the biggest one, but it is not the only one. Today, 4 billion people are sick with chronic or infectious diseases. There are 550 million people whose entire job is taking care of them. The cost is roughly $14.9 trillion (95% CI: $11.9 trillion-$18.3 trillion) a year. There are 9.5 million possible drug-disease combinations we could test. We have tested 32,500. That is 0.342% (95% CI: 0%-1%) of the space. At the current rate of 15 new disease-treatment combinations approved per year, it will take 443 years to clear the existing queue. The $2.46 trillion that the Pentagon cannot account for across 8 failed audits, all by itself, represents 547 years of clinical trials at current funding levels. This is Ignaz Semmelweis’s unwashed hands, scaled to a civilization. We have the drugs. We have the diseases. We are not checking.

What If the Shareholders Had Just Replaced the Board?

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  imagine:                             |
|  lots of people buy Ethyl shares      |
|  send love letters to the board       |
|  "please stop giving everyone         |
|   brain damage"                       |
|  buy enough shares to replace board   |
|                                       |
|  result:                              |
|  trillions richer, fewer murders,     |
|  faster science                       |
|                                       |
|  buy enough shares, replace the board |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

Okay, so back to the Ethyl Gasoline Corporation. Imagine a counterfactual universe whereby lots of humans sent love letters to the board. Like purchased shares in the Ethyl Gasoline Corporation and sent love letters to the board members saying, I love you very much and I do not want you and your family to get brain damage, so please stop putting lead in the gasoline giving everyone brain damage. And there’s this thing called shareholder activism whereby you can buy enough shares to replace the board with people that are slightly less retarded, producing a very good outcome that humanity would have been trillions of dollars richer, there’s tons of crime, like a massive amount of murders and thefts and all this stuff that resulted from everybody being retarded, and trillions of dollars in wealth that would have been created from people being better at their jobs and making better decisions generally.

The Same Mistake, Now with Nuclear Weapons

THE SAME MISTAKE, NOW WITH NUCLEAR WEAPONS

  12,241 nuclear warheads.
  ~100 needed to end civilization.
  = 122 apocalypses on standby.

  $4.4 billion (95% CI: $3.74 billion-$5.06 billion)/yr in corporate lobbying controls the
  government that bought all 12,241 of them.

  The military-industrial complex = Ethyl Corp, at planetary scale.

So today is the same situation. There are corporations with boards run by people who are retarded relative to perfect information and perfect rationality. And there is plenty of data to make better decisions than these boards are making. Case in point, making 122 apocalypses worth of nuclear bombs when you only have one civilization to apocalypse.

Their Shareholders Would Be Richer Too

THEIR SHAREHOLDERS WOULD BE RICHER TOO

  Current path:
  extract money from a shrinking economy,
  then die of a curable disease anyway.

  Better path:
  point the lobbying at real growth instead.
  The average person ends up 1.89x richer by year 20.
  The military contractors' own revenue goes up too.

  Same math as the leaded-gas company.
  They are hurting themselves.

The math works for the shareholders too. The same model that says the 1% treaty167 168 makes the average person 1.89x richer by year 20 says the military contractors’ own shareholders come out ahead in the redirected world. They are extracting value from a shrinking, destabilized economy. Redirect the lobbying toward the policies that grow the economy and their revenues grow with it. Their stock goes up. Their employees live longer. The Ethyl Gasoline Corporation’s shareholders would have been 23.2% (95% CI: 8.41%-52.4%) richer if they had never put lead in the gas. This is not charity. This is what the math says.

Who Loses?

WHO LOSES?

  Nobody. That is the strange part. Go down the list.

  - The weapons companies keep 99% of the budget, and their
    stock rises as the whole economy grows.
  - Their shareholders end up richer. So do their employees,
    who also live longer.
  - Patients get the cures. Taxpayers stop paying for
    121 spare apocalypses.
  - Even the bought politicians get offered a better-paying
    deal than the one they have now.

  Everyone is handed a raise. The only way to lose is to turn
  it down, and that is a decision, not a casualty.

Here is the part that sounds too good, so people get suspicious. Nobody has to lose. The weapons companies keep ninety-nine percent of their budget, and their stock goes up, because a bigger economy buys more of everything, theirs included. Their shareholders get richer. Their own employees stop dying of the diseases nobody is funding. Patients get cured. Taxpayers stop paying for the hundredth apocalypse. Even the politicians who take the lobbying money get offered a better deal, because lobbying for policies that work pays more than lobbying for policies that don’t. The only person who loses is the one who is handed a raise and says no. That is not a victim. That is a choice.

WWII: The Cut That Caused the Biggest Boom

WWII: THE CUT THAT CAUSED THE BIGGEST BOOM

  1939: the US military cost $29 billion -- about 3% of today.
  It won World War II in four years.

  After the war, the US cut military spending 87.6%.
  What followed was the biggest economic boom in American history.

  Today: about a trillion dollars more than the WWII peak,
  cannot keep one shipping lane open, 8 failed audits in a row.

In 1939 the United States military spending was about 3% of its current levels. They won World War II in four years. After the war, the United States cut military spending by 87.6%. What followed was the greatest economic expansion in American history. The economy did not collapse. It boomed. Today we spend a trillion dollars more and we can’t even keep the Strait of Hormuz open, because in 1939 you had to be good at building things to get government contracts and today you have to be good at lobbying. The hundred billion dollars a year the Pentagon just loses into a black hole and the thousand dollar screws and the eight consecutive failed audits are not accidents. That is what a system that selects for corruption instead of competence looks like.

12 People, $12.5 Million, 3 Board Seats at Exxon

12 PEOPLE, $12.5 MILLION, 3 BOARD SEATS AT EXXON

  2021: a tiny investment firm called Engine No. 1.
  12 people. $12.5 million.
  They owned 0.02% of ExxonMobil, a $400 billion company.

  Result: 3 seats on Exxon's board.

  Their argument: your strategy is destroying long-term value.
  Vanguard and BlackRock, who own 60%, agreed and voted with them.

  The stock went up.

Someone has already done a version of this. In 2021, a 12-person firm called Engine No. 1 spent $12.5 million campaigning to replace board members while holding 0.02% of ExxonMobil’s shares. They won 3 board seats. The argument was: your strategy is destroying long-term value for the people who own this company. Vanguard and BlackRock, who hold roughly 60% of ExxonMobil, agreed and voted with them. $12.5 million.

Buy the Shares, Redirect the Lobbyists

BUY THE SHARES, REDIRECT THE LOBBYISTS

  Earth Optimization Services buys shares in the
  companies whose lobbying controls the budget.

  It sends love letters, using the ordinary legal tools
  every shareholder already has: letters the board is
  required to read, and votes to put new people on the board.

  Then it tells their lobbyists: here are the policies
  that actually make you richer.

Earth Optimization Services purchases shares in the corporations that currently spend $4.4 billion (95% CI: $3.74 billion-$5.06 billion) lobbying your government. Then it tells their lobbyists: here are the policies that actually make your shareholders richer. We know which ones work because we have data from hundreds of countries over hundreds of years. The lobbyists do what lobbyists do, except now they are lobbying for policies that work.

Buy One Share and Write a Letter

BUY ONE SHARE AND WRITE A LETTER

  First target: Huntington Ingalls, the only company that
  builds US aircraft carriers ($10B). The Navy can't shop elsewhere.

  Buy one share (~$200). Write a letter to the board.
  Each win buys credibility. Credibility funds the next target.

  Then pharma. Then tech. Then oil.

Start with Huntington Ingalls Industries, the sole builder of aircraft carriers in the United States. The whole company is worth roughly $10 billion. The Navy cannot buy carriers from anyone else. Buy one share for about $200 and write a letter to the board. Each win creates credibility, capital, and attention. Each funds the next. If someone copies the strategy, it works faster, and if a competitor buys the same stocks, your shares go up.

What It Costs To Buy The Companies That Run The Government

WHAT IT COSTS

  Military-industrial complex, board seats:
     $48.4 billion  (0.0159% of all money on Earth)

  EVERY industry that owns the government at once:
     $884 billion  (0.29%)

  You cannot even BUY most of these companies.
  Zuckerberg, the Google founders, and Ellison
  kept the votes for themselves.
  So you do not buy them. You out-vote them.

The military-industrial complex is the one part you can actually buy outright, and it’s cheap. Enough stock to win board seats costs $48.4 billion. That is 0.0159% of all the money invested on the planet. Enough to win board seats in every industry that owns your government, weapons, pharma, tech, insurance, oil, all at once, costs $884 billion. That is 0.29% of all the money in the world. And you couldn’t buy most of these companies if you tried. Zuckerberg and the Google founders and Larry Ellison kept the votes for themselves. So you don’t buy them. You out-vote them.

Where The Profit Comes From

WHERE THE PROFIT COMES FROM

  Warren Buffett's whole career in one picture:
  buy a company with poor management, put in better
  management, keep the difference.

      better management  --.   sell high (worth more)
                           |
                           +-- the profit is this gap
                           |
      poor management    --'   buy low (cheap)

  Earth Optimization Services does the same thing, but bigger.
  It fixes the GOVERNANCE, not the management. Same companies:

      optimized governance  --.   worth a lot more after
                              |
                              +-- same gap, worth $101 trillion (95% CI: $59.6 trillion-$161 trillion) a year
                              |
      poor governance       --'   buy in here, cheap

Warren Buffett got rich doing one boring thing over and over: buy a company with bad management, give it good management, and pocket the gap. Earth Optimization Services uses the very same strategy. It just fixes the governance instead of the management, and it does it to the whole economy instead of one company. That works because BlackRock and Vanguard already own the whole economy. Nobody at either firm has done the math on what that means. Most investors guess which company beats which. BlackRock and Vanguard skipped that. They bought all of them. Every supplier, every lender, every insurer. They own a slice of everything. One company stealing from another nets them zero. They own both sides. They only make money when the whole economy gets bigger.

The thing that decides how big the economy is? Governance. You can test this in your head. Take everything you own and move it to Somalia. Same stocks, same buildings. It’s worth almost nothing. Warlords eat most of it. Move it to the United States. Worth orders of magnitude more. The only thing that changed was who runs the place.

What’s it worth under a government better than this one? That gap is $101 trillion (95% CI: $59.6 trillion-$161 trillion) a year. That is what it costs to run the policies you run instead of the ones that work.

EOS does not fix one company. It fixes the country all the companies are in. When the country improves, every stock moves. You are not picking winners. You are fixing the room they all sit in. Nobody has to be nice. The index funds are legally required to vote for whatever makes their portfolio worth more. Engine No. 1 did it with 0.02% of ExxonMobil and a spreadsheet. Same spreadsheet. Pointed at the companies whose lobbyists write your laws. The waste on it is $101 trillion (95% CI: $59.6 trillion-$161 trillion) a year.

The Flywheel: Why It Speeds Up

THE FLYWHEEL: WHY IT SPEEDS UP

  Win one board fight and three things happen:

  The stock goes up -> more money for the next fight.
  Better policy -> bigger economy.
  Bigger economy -> every stock worth more.

  Each feeds the other two.
  You kick it once.

Win one board fight and three things happen. The stock goes up, so more people buy in, which funds the next fight. The lobbying you redirected gets good policy passed, which makes the whole economy bigger. A bigger economy makes every company worth more, including the ones you already hold. Each feeds the other two. You kick it once and it speeds up on its own.

The Failure Mode

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  IF the campaign fails:               |
|  war continues                        |
|  more contracts                       |
|  your shares go up                    |
|                                       |
|  you hold monopoly contractors        |
|  whose customers cannot leave         |
|                                       |
|  (the Navy is not going to buy        |
|   carriers from Toyota)               |
|                                       |
|  you make money either way            |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

The failure mode is that you make money anyway. If this company fails to end war, war continues. War continuing means more missile contracts. More missile contracts means your military contractor shares go up. You have purchased a portfolio that appreciates whether humanity disappoints or surprises you.

Competition Makes You Richer

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  normal business:                     |
|  competitor enters market             |
|  -> steals customers                  |
|  -> your revenue drops                |
|                                       |
|  EOS:                                 |
|  competitor buys same stocks          |
|  -> more demand for shares you hold   |
|  -> your shares go up                 |
|                                       |
|  only investment where competitors    |
|  succeeding = you winning             |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

Normally, when you get competitors, they steal your market share, so you get less sales and the value of your investment goes down. If somebody decides this is a good idea and competes with Earth Optimization Services, this is good, because it means there is greater demand for the shares you own. Therefore the value of your shares goes up. The more competitors you have, the more profit you make.

Money Doesn’t Buy Votes

MONEY DOESN'T BUY VOTES

  If this works, EOS ends up holding a lot of power.
  Concentrated power has a terrible track record.

  Every genocide and every unjust war was started by a
  small group of people who had the power to start it.
  None were ever started by a public vote.

  So here the votes are not for sale. One per human.
  Your money buys a share of the profit, not a say
  in what gets decided.

If this company actually pulls it off and ends up controlling the companies that control the governments, it becomes very powerful. And concentrated power has a terrible track record. Every genocide, every unjust war, was started by some small group that had the power to start it. None of them were ever started by a public vote. People do not vote to be marched into a famine. So the rule here is simple: your money buys you a share of the profit, and nothing else. The decisions get made one vote per human, and those votes are not for sale. You cannot buy the steering wheel, no matter how many shares you own.

Invest

INVEST

  Earth Optimization Services. Buy shares in the company.

  If the campaigns work: the shares go up.
  If they don't: you own military stocks, which go up when
  wars don't end. You make money either way.

  Minimum: $25,000.
  You have to be a rich-enough investor to qualify
  (the legal word for it is "accredited").

  Guarantee: full refund if the world ends more than once.

So what Earth Optimization Services actually does is reclaim all of these currently wasted resources, all of this money that’s being wasted on thousand dollar screws and lost in Pentagon black holes and spent on 121 unnecessary apocalypses, and return it to the shareholders. Which is you. All of you. And then you allocate it via the free market, which is the thing that we already know works better than central planning. So instead of 535 people in Congress deciding what to do with your money based on who gave them the most lobbying money, you decide what to do with your money based on what you actually need. And some of you will buy healthcare and some of you will fund research and some of you will buy more bombs if you want, but at least it will be your choice.

Full terms and the investment calculator: Earth Optimization Fund.

You Are Already a Humanity Manager

+---------------------------------------+
|                                       |
|  you are a Humanity Manager at EOS    |
|  1 vote, equal to every other human   |
|                                       |
|                                       |
|  your job: help figure out the        |
|  optimal policies and be nice to      |
|  each other in this workplace         |
|  which is Earth                       |
|                                       |
+---------------------------------------+

Additionally, whether or not you invest, you are already a Humanity Manager at Earth Optimization Services, which comes with one voting share, given equally to every human and impossible to buy or sell. Investing earns you the financial return; the vote is yours just for being a person. And as a Humanity Manager, your job is to do your best to help Earth Optimization Services determine the optimal public policies and gain board seats at all of these corporations. And just generally make the rest of humanity be nice and helpful to each other in this workplace, which is Earth.

Verification Table

Claim Status Where to Verify
Expected value math (infinity times any probability = infinity) Standard probability theory Any introductory probability textbook
Time dilation in dreams Peer-reviewed Sleep research on subjective time perception
Salvia divinorum time distortion Published case reports Pharmacological literature on salvinorin A
Immortal jellyfish (Turritopsis dohrnii) Confirmed Marine biology textbooks
Earth wastes $101 trillion (95% CI: $59.6 trillion-$161 trillion)/year on suboptimal policies Derived in book The Political Dysfunction Tax
Governments spend $36.5 trillion/year External data World Bank government expense data
310 million employers murdered since 1900 External data Democide statistics (R.J. Rummel); Cost of War
$170 trillion spent on murder since 1900 Derived in book Cost of War
War on Drugs: overdoses rose from ~1,000 to ~107,000/yr over 53 years External data CDC drug overdose mortality data (1970-2023); DEA budget records
Ethyl Gasoline Corporation / tetraethyl lead Historical record Banned in US 1996. IQ reduction documented by CDC. Discussed in I Am Retarded
Clair Patterson discovered lead contamination Historical record Wikipedia. Note: discovery was in the 1960s, not the 1930s. The monologue’s timeline is approximate but the substance is correct.
Shareholders would have been 20-60% richer without lead Derived GDP impact of lead exposure vs. ethanol alternative cost; discussed in I Am Retarded
Ignaz Semmelweis beaten to death in asylum Historical record Wikipedia. Died 1865. Discussed in I Am Retarded
4 billion people sick with chronic or infectious diseases External data WHO Global Health Estimates; Cost of Disease
550 million caregivers worldwide External data ILO care economy estimates; Cost of Disease
$14.9 trillion (95% CI: $11.9 trillion-$18.3 trillion) annual disease burden Derived Direct + indirect costs; Cost of Disease
9.5 million possible drug-disease combinations Derived ~9,500 approved drugs x ~1,000 diseases; Cost of Disease
32,500 tested (0.3%) Derived ClinicalTrials.gov completed trials; Cost of Disease
443 years to clear queue at 15 approvals/year Derived 6,650 rare diseases / 15 FDA approvals/yr; Cost of Disease
$2.46 trillion Pentagon unaccounted = 546 trial years Derived DOD OIG audit findings; $2.46T / $4.5B per trial-year; Cost of War; Cost of Disease
122 apocalypses worth of nuclear bombs Derived in book 12,241 warheads / 100 needed for nuclear winter. The Apocalypse Markup; Cost of War
$4.4 billion (95% CI: $3.74 billion-$5.06 billion) in corporate lobbying External data OpenSecrets
US military spending 3% of current levels in 1939 Historical data $29 billion (1939) vs. $886 billion (2024), constant 2024 dollars. Cost of War
Won WWII in four years Historical record US entered December 1941, Japan surrendered August 1945
Post-WWII military cut 88%, then biggest boom Historical record DoD budget fell from ~$900B (1945) to ~$100B (1948) in 2024 dollars; followed by 1950s-60s expansion; Cost of War
Median income 1.89x by year 20 under treaty Modeled The Loving Takeover; projected, not guaranteed
Pentagon failed 8 consecutive audits Government record DOD Office of Inspector General, FY2018-FY2025
Engine No. 1: 12 people, $12.5M, 0.02%, 3 board seats Historical record Wall Street Journal, May 2021
HII is sole US aircraft carrier builder External data Congressional Research Service reports on shipbuilding industrial base
Buy one share (~$200) and write the board; a law firm letter the board must read $5K-$15K; a campaign to put your own person on the board $100K-$500K Derived estimate HII share price (NYSE); shareholder rights law firm fee schedules; Engine No. 1 at scale was $12.5M for a $400B company
Boards legally required to act in shareholder interest (the 1996 Caremark ruling) Legal record In re Caremark International Inc. Derivative Litigation, 698 A.2d 959 (Del. Ch. 1996)
“Optimitron” policy optimization machine Book concept Optimocracy; Optimal Policy Generator
Distribute voting shares equally among humanity Book concept Wishocracy; Earth Optimization Services
Shareholder activism to replace boards Book concept Loving Takeover; Lawsuit
Planet GL-881 / Moronia similarity score Book concept Moronia; Earth Optimization Services