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Your Personal Benefits

Keywords

war-on-disease, 1-percent-treaty, medical-research, public-health, peace-dividend, decentralized-trials, dfda, dih, victory-bonds, health-economics, cost-benefit-analysis, clinical-trials, drug-development, regulatory-reform, military-spending, peace-economics, decentralized-governance, wishocracy, blockchain-governance, impact-investing

Forget saving humanity. Price the future you personally have to live in.

The Earth Optimization Prize139 is not mainly a story about whether a PRIZE deposit earns on the deposit itself. It is a story about what happens to the rest of your life if civilization keeps compounding toward extraction, or if it pivots toward health and productive growth instead.

The Average Human On Earth

If you enter nothing into the calculator below, it starts from the model’s default human:

Baseline Current modeled value
Age

30.5 years
Remaining life

48.5 years
Annual income

$14.4K
Annual savings capacity

$3.88K

That default is not “you.” It is the fastest way to make the math legible before you personalize it.

The Four Futures

Future What the model says
Failed-State Trajectory The average person ends up with roughly $1.34M in cumulative lifetime income while the destructive economy rises from 11.5% of GDP now, reaches 25% in 8 years, and reaches 50% of GDP in 15 years, where stealing beats creating because whatever gets built gets looted.
Minimum Sustainable Trajectory (1% Treaty) Adds $14.7M in lifetime income, 6.55 years in healthy life by year 15, and $15.7M in blended upside.
Wishonian Optimal Governance Trajectory Adds $51.9M in lifetime income, 15.7 years in healthy life by year 15, and $54.3M in blended upside.
Collapse Tail The destructive economy reaches 25% of GDP in 8 years and 50% (Terminal Parasitic Load) in 15 years if the loop is not broken.

Personal Scenario Calculator

<div>
  <h3>How much is it rational for you to contribute?</h3>
  <p class="pbc-footnote">This calculator scales the repo's average-person scenario gains to your age, income, and available savings. It is not trying to be conservative. It is trying to show the model's full upside and the downside of staying on the current path.</p>
</div>

<div class="pbc-controls">
  <div class="pbc-group">
    <label for="pbc-input-scenario">Scenario upside you are trying to buy</label>
    <select id="pbc-input-scenario">
      <option value="treaty">Minimum Sustainable Trajectory (1% Treaty)</option>
      <option value="wishonia">Optimal Governance Trajectory</option>
    </select>
    <div class="pbc-helper">Collapse-tail markers are shown in the summary below as the downside of not breaking the current loop.</div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-group">
    <label for="pbc-input-age">Your age</label>
    <input id="pbc-input-age" type="number" min="0" max="120" step="1" inputmode="numeric">
    <div class="pbc-helper">Default = global median age.</div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-group">
    <label for="pbc-input-income">Your annual income</label>
    <input id="pbc-input-income" type="number" min="1" step="1000" inputmode="numeric">
    <div class="pbc-helper">Income upside scales from the global average baseline.</div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-group">
    <label for="pbc-input-savings">Your available savings</label>
    <input id="pbc-input-savings" type="number" min="1" step="100" inputmode="numeric">
    <div class="pbc-helper">Default = average annual savings capacity per person.</div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-group">
    <label for="pbc-input-contribution">Contribution you are considering</label>
    <input id="pbc-input-contribution" type="number" min="1" step="10" inputmode="numeric">
    <div class="pbc-helper">Used to compute break-even probability lift and share of savings.</div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-group">
    <label for="pbc-input-probability">Probability lift your contribution causes (percentage points)</label>
    <input id="pbc-input-probability" type="number" min="0.000001" step="0.0001" inputmode="decimal">
    <div class="pbc-helper">Example: <strong>0.01</strong> means one-hundredth of one percentage point.</div>
  </div>
</div>

<div class="pbc-actions">
  <button id="pbc-reset" class="pbc-button" type="button">Reset to the average Earth human</button>
  <div class="pbc-helper">Default contribution = 1% of default available savings.</div>
</div>

<div class="pbc-cards">
  <div class="pbc-card good">
    <div class="pbc-card-title">Personal Income Upside</div>
    <div id="pbc-output-income" class="pbc-card-value"></div>
    <div id="pbc-output-income-meta" class="pbc-card-meta"></div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-card good">
    <div class="pbc-card-title">Personal Healthy-Life Upside</div>
    <div id="pbc-output-health" class="pbc-card-value"></div>
    <div id="pbc-output-health-meta" class="pbc-card-meta"></div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-card good">
    <div class="pbc-card-title">Blended Personal Upside</div>
    <div id="pbc-output-blend" class="pbc-card-value"></div>
    <div id="pbc-output-blend-meta" class="pbc-card-meta"></div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-card">
    <div class="pbc-card-title">Expected Value Of Your Contribution</div>
    <div id="pbc-output-ev" class="pbc-card-value"></div>
    <div id="pbc-output-ev-meta" class="pbc-card-meta"></div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-card">
    <div class="pbc-card-title">Break-Even Contribution</div>
    <div id="pbc-output-break-even" class="pbc-card-value"></div>
    <div id="pbc-output-break-even-meta" class="pbc-card-meta"></div>
  </div>

  <div class="pbc-card bad">
    <div class="pbc-card-title">Break-Even Probability Lift</div>
    <div id="pbc-output-probability" class="pbc-card-value"></div>
    <div id="pbc-output-probability-meta" class="pbc-card-meta"></div>
  </div>
</div>

<div id="pbc-summary" class="pbc-summary" aria-live="polite"></div>
<p class="pbc-footnote">Blended upside = lifetime income gain + valued healthy-life gain. It is intentionally expansive rather than conservative. The scenario cards above show the downside of letting the current trajectory continue.</p>

What This Means

If the calculator says a tiny probability shift justifies a meaningful contribution, that is not because the calculator is being sentimental. It is because the spread between the current trajectory and the better trajectories is enormous.

If you want the mechanism that tries to buy those better futures, read The Earth Optimization Prize. If you want the short version, do the three actions: make a PRIZE deposit, answer the referendum questions, and recruit two people.

For the full parameter set, Monte Carlo outputs, and sensitivity analysis, see the Parameters and Calculations chapter.