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Earth Optimization Plan v1

The Terrible Starting Benchmark for the Earth Optimization Prize

Abstract

The Earth Optimization Plan v1 is the integrated system described in How to End War and Disease. It combines eleven mechanisms into a self-reinforcing loop: a 1% military-to-medical treaty provides $27.2B/year in funding; pragmatic clinical trials executed through a decentralized FDA protocol reduce trial costs by 44.1x and compress the treatment discovery queue from 443 years to 36 years; Incentive Alignment Bonds fund the political campaign and pay investors 272% annual returns; wishocratic pairwise comparison allocates the 80% research treasury; and an evidence machine (Optimocracy) tells governments which policies actually work. Each component feeds the next. More cures generate popular support, more bondholder income generates political pressure, and more treaty funding generates campaign support for politicians who voted yes. The ratchet only moves in one direction. This paper documents the complete system: what each component does, how they connect, what numbers they claim, and where we think we are wrong. It exists to be replaced. The Earth Optimization Prize is a standing bounty for whoever builds v2. Fork this and make it better.

Keywords

war-on-disease, 1-percent-treaty, medical-research, public-health, peace-dividend, decentralized-trials, dfda, dih, victory-bonds, health-economics, cost-benefit-analysis, clinical-trials, drug-development, regulatory-reform, military-spending, peace-economics, decentralized-governance, wishocracy, blockchain-governance, impact-investing

Introduction

This is a README for your civilization’s upgrade.

Your species has produced thousands of policy proposals, most of which share a structural feature: they describe a pleasant world without describing a mechanism for reaching it. “We should have universal healthcare” is a destination, not a route. “We should end war” is a wish, not an engineering specification. Policy proposals on Earth work like recipes that list ingredients but skip the cooking instructions, then blame the chef when dinner does not materialize.

The Earth Optimization Plan v1 is different in exactly one way: it is an integrated system where every component creates the conditions for the next component. The treaty funds the trials. The trials generate returns. The returns pay the investors who funded the campaign that passed the treaty. The campaign creates voter demand that makes expanding the treaty easier than repealing it. Remove any one piece and the loop breaks. That is a weakness and a strength. It is a weakness because integrated systems are harder to build. It is a strength because integrated systems are harder to capture; you cannot lobby your way out of a machine whose parts check each other.

We think this plan is terrible. We also think it is better than what your species is currently doing, which is spending 604 times more on weapons than on testing which medicines work, and calling this “civilization.”

There is also a clock. Your destructive economy (military spending beyond deterrence plus cybercrime) is 11.5% of GDP and growing faster than the productive economy. The Soviet Union collapsed at 15%. At current growth rates, yours hits 25% in 8 years and 50% in 15 years. There is a crossover point where the rational choice for any individual, company, or nation flips from “build things” to “steal things.” You have a name for places where this already happened. You call them “failed states.” There is no Colombia to flee to when the global economy is the failed state.

The Earth Optimization Prize is a standing bounty for whoever builds v2. This paper is the starting entry. Every component is documented with what it does, what numbers it claims, and what a replacement must beat. Fork it. Improve it. Replace it entirely. We will be genuinely relieved.

The Three-Sentence Version

Sell Incentive Alignment Bonds137 that raise $1B to legally bribe politicians (via Super PACs and lobbying) into signing a treaty138 that redirects 1% of military spending to clinical trials. Of the resulting $27.2B/year, 80% funds trials through your decentralized FDA139,140, 10% pays investors 272% annual returns, and 10% funds a Super PAC that rewards politicians who voted yes. Returns grow in proportion to the treaty percentage, so every billionaire bondholder becomes a permanent lobbyist for expanding it, creating self-sustaining pressure to reallocate from death to life.

How the Pieces Connect

The system has eleven required functions. The first ten form a loop; the eleventh becomes possible once the loop is running:

  1. Incentive Alignment Bonds raise $1B from investors who want 272% returns and billionaires who prefer not dying of horrible diseases.
  2. That money funds the political campaign: lobbying, Super PACs, a global referendum proving public support, and paid referral bonuses for voter recruitment.
  3. The campaign passes a 1% Treaty141 redirecting $27.2B/year from military budgets to clinical trials. Balance of power unchanged (everyone cuts the same 1%).
  4. The Decentralized Institutes of Health receives the funds and splits them: 80% to medical research, 10% to investor returns, 10% to political incentives.
  5. The research treasury funds your decentralized FDA protocol, running pragmatic trials at $929/patient instead of $41K/patient.
  6. Wishocracy142 governs how the research treasury is allocated: citizens do ~20 pairwise comparisons in 5 minutes, and the math produces budget weights.
  7. The Evidence Machine (Optimocracy143 + OPG144 + OBG145) tracks which policies actually improve the two terminal metrics across thousands of jurisdictions.
  8. The Political Dysfunction Tax46 and US Efficiency Audit146 identify the waste pools ($101T/year globally).
  9. The legal architecture (treaty text, Right to Trial & FDA Upgrade Act, statutory tools) creates binding force.
  10. This book is the narrative and coalition wrapper that coordinates adoption.
  11. Algorithmic monetary system (Phase 2): once Wishocracy eliminates the politicians who depend on the money printer, replace the Federal Reserve with a shared ledger targeting 0% inflation, all new money distributed as UBI, no Cantillon effect, no wars funded without consent.

The loop closes: cured diseases generate popular support and economic returns, which fund further treaty expansion, which funds more trials. Each expansion multiplies all three revenue streams (investor, political, research). The system is designed so that the greedier its participants are, the faster diseases get cured.

The Funding Engine

The 1% Treaty

Every signatory nation redirects exactly 1% of its military budget to the 1% Treaty Fund. That is $27.2B/year from $2.72T in global military spending. Balance of power is preserved because every country cuts the same percentage. No country becomes more vulnerable. Your species has done harder things than this: you cut military spending by 87.6% after WW2 and stumbled into the greatest economic boom in history138,141.

The treaty requires only 2 countries to enter into force. Reservations are not permitted (no creative accounting). Article VIII requires unanimous consent plus 10-year notice for withdrawal, because a treaty that can be abandoned next quarter is not a treaty; it is a suggestion with a flag.

The revenue split is 80%/10%/10%: 80% to clinical trials (the point), 10% to investor returns (the bait), 10% to political incentives (the hook). The corruption is capped at 20% and fully transparent. The other 80% goes directly to clinical trials through wishocratic allocation, where nobody with money gets to decide where it goes.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must redirect at least as much low-value spending to higher-value use, without requiring any participant to become less selfish.

Decentralized Institutes of Health

The DIH is a thin coordination protocol, not an organization. It does three things: receive treaty funds, allocate them via patient subsidies weighted by disease burden (DALYs) and infrastructure decisions via Wishocracy, and verify results. Everything operational is outsourced to competing providers.

The researcher payment formula replaces the entire grant committee apparatus with one equation: subsidy per patient equals DALYs per patient times value per DALY, where value equals total budget divided by global disease burden. Diseases that kill more people get more funding. This is apparently a novel concept on your planet.

No CEO. No board. Governance rules live in transparent auditable systems. Every dollar on a public ledger. Anyone can build a competing alternative. The protocol is intentionally minimal to resist capture.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must allocate research funding at least as efficiently with equal or better capture resistance.

The Medical Engine

Your Decentralized FDA

Your species has 9.5 thousand compounds known safe compounds. 99.7% of their potential uses have never been tested. At the current discovery rate, clearing the backlog takes ~443 years. Your current clinical trial system costs $41K/patient, has 1.9 million patients/year slots for 2.4 billion people patients who need them, and excludes 86% of the population.

Your decentralized FDA139,140 is an open protocol (HTTP for clinical trials) that connects treatments to patients, records outcomes, and publishes results. Two stages: observational signal detection at ~$0.1/patient, then pragmatic trial confirmation at ~$929/patient. At treaty funding, this expands trial capacity by 12.3x and compresses the queue to ~36 years.

This is not theoretical. The Oxford RECOVERY trial tested 6 treatments on 48,000 patients for $500/patient (versus $41K standard), found dexamethasone cut COVID deaths by 30%, and saved 1 million lives lives in 3 months months86,87. Your species does its best medical research when terrified and disorganized.

Products: treatment search and rankings, Outcome Labels (nutrition-facts-style drug effectiveness summaries), real-time safety monitoring. The enabling legislation is the Right to Trial & FDA Upgrade Act, which eliminates the 8.2 years delay between proving a drug is safe and letting dying humans take it. For every 1 person protected from a dangerous drug, 3.07k die waiting for a safe one147.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must produce faster, cheaper, more reliable treatment discovery, and handle the regulatory-delay problem.

The Political Engine

Incentive Alignment Bonds

The obvious question: who funds a campaign to redirect military spending? Answer: people who want 272% annual returns.

Incentive Alignment Bonds137 are assurance contracts with revenue-share upside. Buy a bond, your money is escrowed at 10% annually. If the treaty never passes, you get your money back at 4.18x over 15 years (beats most hedge funds). If the treaty passes, you receive a pro-rata share of 10% of treaty funding flows: $2.72B/year on $1B total bonds. That is 272% annual returns, paid as a perpetual revenue share for as long as the treaty generates funding.

The secondary market price is a real-time, money-backed estimate of implementation probability. Every bondholder is financially incentivized to recruit voters, lobby politicians, fund implementation work, and share the plan, because all of these raise bond value. Nobody coordinates the campaign. The bond price coordinates the campaign.

Three-layer architecture for political adoption: (A) an independent organization publishes Public Good Scores based on politician voting records, (B) PACs and 501(c)(4)s support high-scorers with campaign funding, (C) foundations guarantee post-office careers for champions. No money flows directly to politicians. The same K Street mechanics, pointed at diseases instead of defense contracts.

The maximum cost of achieving any policy change through legal democratic channels is $1B for the United States, with ROI exceeding 400,000:1148. “Political impossibility” is a capital allocation problem, not a physics problem.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must make treaty passage at least as incentive-compatible for selfish actors, with equal or better investor returns.

The Campaign

The campaign has two prongs: a global referendum and a lobbying operation.

The referendum proves that the support already exists. Everyone thinks ending war and disease is crazy because everyone else thinks it is crazy. Your economists call this pluralistic ignorance. The referendum is the moment eight billion people discover they nearly all agree. At 3.5% active participation (the Chenoweth threshold), no political movement has ever failed56. That is 280 million humans. More than 10 times as many downloaded TikTok.

$250M of the campaign budget goes to paid referral bonuses that make sharing financially attractive. The lobbying budget ($650M) outbids the defense lobby’s annual spend ($127M/year) by a factor of 8.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must coordinate adoption at equal or lower cost and failure risk.

Why Every Actor’s Selfish Move Aligns

The system does not require anyone to become a better person. It requires each actor to do the thing they were already going to do, except pointed at diseases:

Actor What they want What the system gives them
Defense contractors Revenue Keep 99% of budget + new health market worth $27.2B/year
Pharma Cheaper trials, more revenue Trials become revenue instead of cost; cost drops 44.1x
Insurance companies Fewer claims Cured patients stop filing; permanent profit increase
Politicians Reelection + career Super PAC funding + post-office careers proportional to treaty support
Billionaires Returns + not dying 272% returns + their diseases get cured too
Lobbyists Clients + salary Same job, same salary, different client; Wikipedia page improves
Regular humans Health + income Diseases cured + $14.9M lifetime income gain

The Olsonian problem (concentrated interests beat diffuse beneficiaries) is solved by creating concentrated interests on the pro-health side. Bondholders, politicians receiving PAC funding, defense contractors accessing the new health market: all now have per-capita stakes in the treaty’s survival that match or exceed the defense lobby’s per-capita stakes in the status quo.

The Information Engine

The Evidence Machine

Optimocracy143 measures two terminal metrics (median healthy life years and median real after-tax income) across ~10,000 jurisdictions running natural experiments. The Optimal Policy Generator144 turns that data into enact/replace/repeal recommendations. The Optimal Budget Generator145 does the same for spending. Combined: “What works?” answered by data, not argument.

The Political Dysfunction Tax46 is the gap between actual governance output and optimal-governance output: $101T/year globally. The US Efficiency Audit146 itemizes $4.9T/year across ten categories. These are the waste maps that tell you where the money is.

Why only two terminal metrics? Each additional metric creates a new Goodhart surface. Markets optimize profit, not 200 sub-metrics. Median income is hard to fake at scale. Mortality is binary. Two numbers. Your species can probably keep track of two numbers.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must generate better policy and budget recommendations under real-world constraints, and identify low-value spending pools at least as well.

The Governance Engine

Wishocracy

Wishocracy142 asks citizens to drag a slider between two random budget priorities. “How would you split $100 between cancer research and malaria prevention?” About 20 comparisons, 5 minutes. Statistical models (Bradley-Terry/PageRank) aggregate millions of pairwise judgments into budget-preference weights without speeches, lobbying, or horse-trading.

Why pairwise comparisons? Random pairs prevent gaming (no ballot measure to advertise for). Independence is structurally guaranteed (no spoiler candidates, no strategic voting). Outliers cancel out. Your species tried direct democracy four times (Athens, California propositions, Brexit, Swiss referendums) and each failed for a specific reason that pairwise comparison structurally prevents.

Wishocracy governs two things in v1: how the 80% research treasury is allocated, and infrastructure decisions within the DIH. It is scope-locked to bounded allocation questions. You cannot use it to vote on rights, bodies, or anything unbounded.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, your alternative must recover public preferences at equal or lower cognitive cost, with equal or better resistance to capture by organized factions.

The Monetary System (Phase 2)

The central-banks chapter makes the case that the money printer is the root cause: every war that killed more than a million people required one, the hard-money list is empty, and the Cantillon effect has transferred 93% of your purchasing power from workers to whoever stands closest to the printer since 1913. A plan that claims to optimize Earth but ignores the monetary system is a plan that fixes the symptoms and leaves the disease.

V1 does not fix this in Phase 1. The treaty, the bonds, and your decentralized FDA all operate within existing fiat currencies. This is deliberate. Replacing the Federal Reserve requires eliminating the politicians who depend on it, which requires Wishocracy to be running, which requires the treaty to pass, which requires the bonds to sell. You cannot skip to the end. The sequencing matters.

Phase 2 (post-treaty, post-wishocracy) replaces the money printer with an algorithmic monetary system described in Wishonia. The core mechanism: a shared ledger where money supply targets 0% inflation. When the economy grows, the algorithm creates exactly enough new currency to keep prices stable. That new money is the productivity dividend, and it flows through Wishocracy as the global public goods budget. Citizens allocate it via pairwise comparisons: cancer research or infrastructure, education or defense. No congressional budget process. No grant committee. No lobbyist. The economy’s natural surplus, captured by the algorithm instead of being silently pocketed by whoever stands closest to the printer.

A transaction tax (automatic, invisible, collected by smart contract) provides the second stream, constant regardless of growth. Both streams flow into one pool. Wishocracy allocates the entire thing via pairwise comparisons. UBI is one allocation category among many (alongside cancer research, infrastructure, education, etc.), not a constitutional carve-out. The pairwise comparison forces the tradeoff: citizens who want more cash allocate toward UBI; citizens who want more cures allocate toward research. The Optimitron shows the ROI of each option. The aggregate produces a natural equilibrium. No paternalistic floor, no expert committee deciding what citizens need. Eight billion people deciding for themselves, informed by evidence.

Together, three pieces of software (the monetary algorithm targeting 0% inflation, the transaction tax contract, and Wishocracy) render redundant: the Federal Reserve, the IRS, income tax, the congressional budget process, every welfare program (food stamps, housing vouchers, disability offices, Social Security Administration), grant committees, the lobbying industry, and the financial sector.

This is v1’s most honest gap. The system that funds wars without democratic consent, steals 2% of purchasing power per year by design, and channels genius toward weapons instead of medicine is not addressed until Phase 2. A v2 that solves this earlier, without breaking the Phase 1 sequencing, would be strictly better.

NoteFork Marker

To replace this component, design a transition path from fiat to algorithmic money that does not require the treaty to pass first, or prove that the treaty can pass faster without monetary reform.

The Ratchet

The system is designed to ratchet. Three reinforcing loops ensure the treaty percentage increases but never decreases:

Loop 1: Cures create voters. Every disease cured by treaty-funded trials creates a constituency of formerly dying humans who now vote. Repealing the treaty means telling cured patients “we would like to stop curing diseases now.” No politician survives that sentence.

Loop 2: Returns create lobbyists. Bondholder returns scale with treaty percentage. Every expansion from 1% to 2% doubles investor income. Every bondholder becomes the world’s most motivated lobbyist for expansion. Not because they care about diseases. Because they care about money.

Loop 3: The Super PAC creates career incentives. The 10% political incentive fund rewards politicians proportional to their treaty support. More treaty funding means more PAC money means more politicians competing to be the most pro-treaty candidate.

All three loops compound. A ratchet wrench only turns one way. Your species uses these in garages. We are applying one to your civilization.

The Sequencing

The pieces deploy in order. You cannot skip steps. The full roadmap has the 36-month execution plan. Here is the compressed version:

Months 1-3: Proof of concept. Deploy the Optimitron and Wishocracy as a live referendum platform. Prove humans will participate in direct allocation when you make it easy. Show this to angel investors.

Months 4-18: Scale and sell. Launch referral-bonus-powered voter recruitment. Raise initial IAB capital. Hire lobbyists. Build the IAB scoring system. Get millions of verified referendum votes. The secondary market price of bonds becomes a live signal of implementation probability.

Months 19-36: The treaty. Launch the full VICTORY bond sale ($1B target). Overwhelm the defense lobby ($127M/year) with 8x their spend. Pass the treaty. $27.2B/year begins flowing.

Years 4-50: The ratchet. Treaty expands from 1% to 2% to 5% to 10%+. Each expansion multiplies all three revenue streams. Bondholders lobby for expansion because it raises their returns. Politicians support expansion because it raises their PAC funding. Voters support expansion because diseases keep getting cured.

Phase 2: The monetary system. Once Wishocracy is running at scale and politicians are extinct, replace the Federal Reserve with the algorithmic monetary system. The productivity dividend flows through Wishocracy as the global public goods budget. The transaction tax replaces income tax. Three pieces of software replace the entire fiscal and monetary apparatus.

The Numbers

The ROI is astronomical because three compounding engines run simultaneously. Engine 1: R&D spillover. Redirect engineers from missiles to medicine. Every dollar of R&D produces 2x in economy-wide productivity gains; military R&D produces approximately none (classified, non-transferable, designed to destroy). Engine 2: Disease burden reduction. Disease currently costs 13% of GDP in sick workers, medical bills, and lost productivity. Cure the diseases, recover the GDP. Engine 3: Governance improvement. The Optimitron identifies $101T/year in political dysfunction. Fix even a fraction and the gains compound. All three run for 20 years. Cut every assumption in half, then in quarters. The model still produces a civilization instead of a collapse.

The economic case, compressed:

Metric Value
Treaty funding $27.2B/year
Trial cost reduction 44.1x (from $41K to $929/patient)
Trial capacity increase

12.3x
Disease queue 443 years compressed to 36 years
Lives saved

10.7 billion deaths
Economic value

$84.8 quadrillion
Campaign cost

$1B
ROI 84.8M to 1
Cost per DALY $0.00177 (bed nets: $89)
Investor returns 272% annually (perpetual revenue share)
Failure returns 4.18x over 15 years
Lifetime income gain $14.9M per person
GDP multiplier (year 20) 16.5x (treaty-only) to 56.7x (full optimization)

Full economic modeling: GDP Trajectories. Full parameter documentation: Parameters & Calculations.

What We Think Is Wrong

On Wishonia, admitting what you do not know is considered a sign of intelligence. On Earth, it is considered a sign of weakness, which is why your policy papers never have a section called “Where We Think We Are Wrong.” This one does.

These are the failure modes we consider most likely, ordered by severity. If you are building v2, start here.

1. The First Billion

Everything depends on raising $1B in initial IAB capital. If no billionaire buys in, the cascade never starts. The chain reaction model says that even with 90% dismissal, approximately 3.48 of 2.98 thousand billionaires and heads of state engage within 3 years. The math is reassuring. The math has not met your billionaires. This is the single highest-risk node in the system.

How to beat this: Find a funding mechanism that does not require a single large initial commitment. Crowdfunded assurance contracts with lower thresholds, government matching, or a pilot-scale version that proves the concept at $10M before asking for $1B.

2. The 20% Overhead Question

The 80%/10%/10% split is a design choice, not a theorem. The combined overhead (10% investor returns + 10% political incentives) looks terrible to philanthropists who expect 95% program ratios. It looks excellent to investors who expect 10% returns. Whether the investor-attraction benefit exceeds the philanthropist-repulsion cost is an empirical question nobody has answered. The split may be wrong. A different ratio might raise more capital, or the same capital faster.

How to beat this: Prove that a different split raises more total capital or produces better outcomes per dollar. Or prove that the 20% is unnecessary because a cheaper political mechanism exists.

3. Scoring Organization Capture

The IAB mechanism creates a powerful new institution: the organization that publishes Public Good Scores. This institution can itself be captured. If the scoring organization is corrupted, the entire political incentive system points in the wrong direction. We have specified independence safeguards (multiple data sources, transparent methodology, adversarial review), but the history of ratings agencies on your planet does not inspire confidence.

How to beat this: Design a scoring mechanism that is structurally resistant to capture, not just procedurally guarded against it. Decentralized scoring, cryptographic verification, or adversarial redundancy across competing scorers.

4. The Cascade Assumption

The model assumes that one billionaire investing triggers media coverage, which triggers more investors, which triggers political pressure, which passes the treaty. Each step in this cascade has independent failure probability. The chain reaction model handles this mathematically, but mathematical models of social cascades have a mixed track record on your planet.

How to beat this: Design a system that does not require a social cascade. Or design a cascade with fewer steps, each with higher independent probability.

5. Wishocracy Participation

If participation in wishocratic allocation is low, the allocations are noisy and manipulable by organized factions. The system requires thresholds, weighting, or fallback modes for low participation. We have specified these. We have not tested them.

How to beat this: Prove that a different allocation mechanism produces better outcomes with lower participation requirements, or design stronger participation incentives.

6. Two Metrics May Not Be Enough

Median healthy life years and median real after-tax income ignore inequality, environmental sustainability, subjective well-being, and freedom. We chose two because each additional metric creates a new Goodhart surface, and markets that optimize two numbers outperform committees that optimize two hundred. This is a defensible tradeoff. It may also be wrong.

How to beat this: Prove that a specific additional metric produces enough improvement to justify the Goodhart risk, or prove that two different terminal metrics better capture welfare.

7. No Pilot

We have not tested any of this as an integrated system. The RECOVERY trial proves pragmatic trials work. The Montreal Protocol proves coordinated reduction works. The NRA proves political scoring works. But the integrated loop has never run. Individually validated components can fail when combined, the same way individually safe chemicals can explode when mixed.

How to beat this: Run a pilot. A single country, a single disease category, a scaled-down version of the full loop. Prove the integration works before asking for planetary adoption.

8. We Excluded AI

The economic projections assume AI helps all trajectories equally and therefore cancels out in the comparison. If AI disproportionately accelerates the productive economy (making the treaty path stronger) or disproportionately accelerates the destructive economy (making the status quo path worse), the projections are wrong in a direction we cannot currently predict.

How to beat this: Model AI effects explicitly. Show how AI changes the relative trajectories.

What Already Exists

This is not a whitepaper. The core infrastructure is built and tested:

Package What it does Status
Optimitron core Domain-agnostic causal inference engine 176 tests
Wishocracy RAPPA pairwise preference aggregation, citizen alignment scores 162 tests
Optimal Policy Generator Enact/replace/repeal recommendations from cross-jurisdiction data 213 tests
Optimal Budget Generator Diminishing-returns budget optimization 146 tests
Data layer OECD, World Bank, FRED, WHO, Congress.gov fetchers + 9 health importers 296 tests
Treasury contracts WishToken ($WISH), IAB vault, prize pool, alignment treasury (Solidity) Hardhat tests
Web app Live RAPPA surveys, politician scorecards, bill voting, alignment reports Next.js, deployed

Total: 2,600+ tests across 13 packages. TypeScript strict mode. Zod validation throughout. Every algorithm backed by a published paper with exact formulas and worked examples.

When you fork v1, you are forking working code, not a PDF. The repository contains every calculation, every parameter, and every assumption. The Optomitron repository contains every algorithm.

Fork Instructions

The Earth Optimization Plan v1 is the starting benchmark for the Earth Optimization Prize. To submit v2:

  1. Fork. Clone the repository. Every component, every calculation, every assumption is public.
  2. Replace any row in the Minimum Acceptable Governance table (see the prize paper) with something strictly better on the two terminal metrics (median healthy life years and median real after-tax income).
  3. Or replace the whole system with an integrated alternative that dominates v1 function by function. You cannot skip inconvenient pieces; every required function must be covered or replaced.
  4. Prove it. The primary credit mechanism is referral tracking: how many verified unique voters did you bring? Secondary credit goes to implementation bounties for building infrastructure, drafting legislation, and running trials. You need numbers, not arguments.
  5. Collect. Bondholders receive their revenue share for as long as the treaty generates funding. Implementation contributors receive bounties proportional to verified outcomes.

The disqualification rule: if your proposal requires any participant to become less selfish, you have described a pleasant world rather than a mechanism for reaching it. The math must work when humans are greedy, impatient, and exactly as self-interested as they are right now.

We wrote v1 because competitions need a starting entry. There are 8 billion of you and AIs that are almost certainly smarter than its authors. Finding something better should not be difficult.

We expect to lose. We look forward to it.