# Notice of Termination

Author

Affiliation

Mike P. Sinn

International Campaign to End War and Disease

Abstract

This document is a performance review and notice of termination for cause, addressed in common to every politician with authority over military spending in any jurisdiction. The finding: a [604 (90% CI: 453-888)](../../knowledge/appendix/parameters-and-calculations.llms.md#sec-military_to_government_clinical_trials_spending_ratio)-to-one allocation backward against the dominant risk to general welfare, sustained across the addressee’s entire tenure, with zero public statements identifying the misallocation.

The cause for termination: material breach of constitutional duty. The math required to spot the misallocation is fifth-grade arithmetic. Either the addressee can do it and has chosen not to communicate the result, or the addressee cannot do it. In either case the addressee is unqualified. There is no third option.

The successor systems (Wishocracy, Optimocracy, the Optimal Policy Generator, the Optimal Budget Generator) are documented and deployable. A Performance Improvement Plan permits the addressee to avoid termination by publicly endorsing the 1% Treaty within thirty (30) days. Voting on this notice is open at warondisease.org/terminate.

**To:** Every politician with authority over military spending in any jurisdiction.

**From:** The Public, on behalf of the Constitution of the addressee’s jurisdiction.

**Re:** Material breach of duty to promote the general Welfare.

**Disposition:** Termination for cause, subject to Performance Improvement Plan.

------------------------------------------------------------------------

## I. Position Description

The addressee holds an elected office. The office is created by the addressee’s jurisdiction’s constitution or charter.

In the United States, the Preamble defines the purpose of the office: “to … promote the general Welfare.” Article I, Section 8 restates it: Congress shall spend to provide for “the common Defence and general Welfare.” The oath of office binds the addressee to “support and defend the Constitution.”

The duties are:

1.  Allocate public funds in proportion to threats to general welfare.
2.  Identify and publicly report material deviations from rational allocation.
3.  Vote in accordance with the general-welfare clause and the oath.

Compensation: \$174,000 to \$400,000 USD annually (or jurisdictional equivalent), plus benefits, staff, travel, and post-office career opportunities (book deals, board seats, lobbying positions, speaking honoraria).

The position does not carry discretion to substitute personal, party, or donor preferences for the constitutional duty. It does not carry discretion to allocate inverse to actual risk. It does not carry discretion to stay silent in the face of known catastrophic misallocation.

## II. Performance Findings

The following facts are stipulated and uncontested.

**Allocation.** Global government spending on the capacity for mass killing exceeds global government spending on testing which medicines work by a factor of approximately [604 (90% CI: 453-888)](../../knowledge/appendix/parameters-and-calculations.llms.md#sec-military_to_government_clinical_trials_spending_ratio).

**Risk magnitudes.** Annual probability of dying in a terrorist attack: 1 in [30 million people](../../knowledge/appendix/parameters-and-calculations.llms.md#sec-annual_terrorism_death_risk_denominator). Lifetime probability of dying from disease: approximately 100%.

**Math.** The allocation is inverted relative to the risk. The arithmetic required to spot this is at the level of a competent fifth-grader.

**Public communication.** A search of the public record returns zero floor speeches, zero op-eds, and zero press releases from the addressee identifying the misallocation in these terms.

**Tenure.** The misallocation has persisted across the addressee’s entire tenure in office, and across every predecessor’s in living memory.

### Performance Rating

| Duty (per § I) | Performance | Score |
|:---|:---|---:|
| Allocate funds in proportion to threats | Inverted by a factor of [604 (90% CI: 453-888)](../../knowledge/appendix/parameters-and-calculations.llms.md#sec-military_to_government_clinical_trials_spending_ratio) | 0 / 10 |
| Identify deviations from rational allocation | Zero communications across tenure | 0 / 10 |
| Vote in accordance with the general-welfare clause | See above | 0 / 10 |
| Maintain awareness of basic arithmetic | Indeterminate (see § IV) | n/a |
| **Overall Rating** |  | **0 / 10** |

## III. Prior Warnings

Termination for cause requires a documented warning history. The following warnings were issued to the addressee and are part of the performance record. None were acknowledged or acted upon.

| Date | Warning | Source | Acknowledged? |
|:---|:---|:---|:--:|
| 1961 | “Every gun that is made signifies a theft from those who hunger and are not fed.” | Eisenhower, Farewell Address | No |
| 1965 | Concentrated interests systematically outcompete diffuse beneficiaries, producing welfare-reducing allocations as the predictable equilibrium. | Olson, *Logic of Collective Action*^([1](../references.llms.md#ref-olson1965)) | No |
| 2014 | Correlation between average citizen preferences and policy outcomes: approximately zero. | Gilens & Page^([2](../references.llms.md#ref-gilens2014)) | No |
| 2023 | Childhood vaccinations return 101:1. Military spending beyond deterrence returns 0.7:1. | Copenhagen Consensus^([3](../references.llms.md#ref-copenhagenconsensus2023)) | No |
| Continuous | Constituent polling consistently favors increased healthcare spending and decreased military spending. | Public polling, every major democracy | No |

Five warnings. None acted upon.

## IV. Cause for Termination

The findings in § II and the warnings in § III are cause for termination under any reasonable employment standard. The chain:

1.  The addressee’s job is to promote the general welfare.
2.  Promoting the general welfare requires allocating funds in proportion to threats. (If it didn’t, “welfare” would mean nothing.)
3.  The addressee has, across the entire tenure, allocated funds in inverse proportion to threats.
4.  The math required to spot this is fifth-grade arithmetic.
5.  The addressee has never publicly identified the misallocation.

Either the addressee can do the arithmetic and has chosen not to communicate the result, or the addressee cannot do the arithmetic. In either case the addressee is unqualified. There is no third option. ∎

## V. Successor System

The addressee’s responsibilities will be transferred to two existing decentralized mechanisms. Both are operational. Both produce better outputs than the addressee’s office has produced during the addressee’s tenure.

**[Wishocracy](../../knowledge/solution/wishocracy.llms.md)**^([4](../references.llms.md#ref-wishocracy-paper-2025)) replaces the budget-setting function. It collects prioritization preferences from every affected party and produces aggregate allocations weighted by stake and informed by impact data. Committees, hearings, markup sessions, conference reports, omnibus packages, and continuing resolutions are no longer required.

**[Optimocracy](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimocracy-paper.html)**^([5](../references.llms.md#ref-optimocracy-paper-2025)) replaces the policy-setting function. The Optimitron continuously analyzes outcome data against two terminal general-welfare metrics (median after-tax inflation-adjusted income, and median healthy life expectancy) and ranks policies by actual results in actual jurisdictions. Floor speeches, white papers, talking points, and op-eds are no longer required. The Optimitron does this with better evidence, no conflicts of interest, and no fundraisers.

Full specifications: [Optimal Policy Generator](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimal-policy-generator-spec.html)^([6](../references.llms.md#ref-opg-paper-2025)), [Optimal Budget Generator](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimal-budget-generator-spec.html)^([7](../references.llms.md#ref-obg-paper-2025)). Both deployable today. The two terminal general-welfare metrics named above are the same two metrics that gate payout in the [Earth Optimization Prize](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/strategy/earth-optimization-prize.html)^([8](../references.llms.md#ref-earth-optimization-prize-paper-2025)). The financial layer and the governance layer are consistent.

The addressee’s services in either capacity are no longer required.

## VI. Performance Improvement Plan (PIP) / Right to Cure

The office of elected official remains valuable in principle. This termination addresses the current occupant, not the office. The Public offers a thirty (30) day Performance Improvement Plan starting on the date this notice reaches the threshold of verified signatures in the addressee’s jurisdiction.

To complete the PIP, the addressee must:

1.  Publicly endorse the [1% Treaty](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html)^([9](../references.llms.md#ref-1-percent-treaty-paper-2025)) ^([10](../references.llms.md#ref-1-pct-treaty-impact-paper-2025)) in writing, by name, in official capacity.
2.  Publicly endorse the Successor Systems described in § V, in writing, by name, in official capacity.
3.  Vote in favor of redirecting at least 1% of the jurisdiction’s military spending to pragmatic clinical trials at the next legislative opportunity at which the addressee has a vote.

Completion of all three within thirty days withdraws this termination. Failure makes it final.

Completing all three steps would also constitute the addressee’s first act of substantive performance of the duties in § I. This is a coincidence, and not a coincidence.

## VII. Notice of Termination

Subject to the PIP in § VI, the addressee is hereby terminated for cause, effective at the end of the cure period.

Terms:

- Salary, benefits, taxpayer-funded staff, and taxpayer-funded travel: revoked on the effective date.
- Post-office benefits (book deals, board seats, lobbying positions, speaking honoraria): available to the addressee at the same rates as any other private citizen. The implicit subsidy of the prior office is withdrawn.
- Performance evaluation continues retrospectively and prospectively via [Public Good Scores](../../knowledge/solution/incentive-alignment-bonds.llms.md)^([11](../references.llms.md#ref-iab-paper-2025)), [Court of Humanity](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/court-of-humanity.html)^([12](../references.llms.md#ref-court-of-humanity-paper-2025)) findings, and [Earth Optimization Prize](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/strategy/earth-optimization-prize.html) outcome metrics.

### Exit Procedures

Before the effective date, the addressee will:

1.  Return jurisdiction-issued badge, gavel, parking pass, and access credentials to the legislative gymnasium.
2.  Forward all in-progress legislative correspondence to the Successor Systems queue.
3.  Complete a transition handoff document detailing any ongoing investigations into the addressee.
4.  Attend a mandatory exit interview. The interview will be conducted by the Optimitron. The interview is not optional and is recorded.

The addressee retains the right to seek the same office in subsequent elections. The Public retains the right to evaluate any such candidacy against the standards in this notice.

## VIII. Signature Block

This notice is signed in common by every member of the Public who endorses it. Signatures are gathered at [warondisease.org/terminate](https://warondisease.org/terminate). Each signature is cryptographically verified to a unique human via the [Global Referendum](../../knowledge/strategy/global-referendum.llms.md) protocol. Each carries the signer’s verified identity, country, and constituency.

The notice becomes effective in any jurisdiction in which the signature count exceeds that jurisdiction’s recall, referendum, or constitutional amendment threshold. In jurisdictions without such procedures, the notice becomes effective as a publicly verifiable expression of mass disqualification, to be referenced in subsequent elections, [Court of Humanity](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/court-of-humanity.html) proceedings, and [Earth Optimization Prize](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/strategy/earth-optimization-prize.html) outcome scoring.

The cumulative count, per-addressee count, and per-addressee cure status publish in real time at [warondisease.org/terminate](https://warondisease.org/terminate).

**Sign:** [warondisease.org/terminate](https://warondisease.org/terminate)

## How This Connects

- The disqualification extends [The 1% Treaty](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) and the [Earth Optimization Prize](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/strategy/earth-optimization-prize.html) by providing a formal basis for replacing politicians who refuse to ratify.
- The Successor Systems live in [Wishocracy](../../knowledge/solution/wishocracy.llms.md), [Optimocracy](../../knowledge/solution/optimocracy.llms.md), the [Optimal Policy Generator](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimal-policy-generator-spec.html), and the [Optimal Budget Generator](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimal-budget-generator-spec.html).
- The mechanism for prosecuting terminations is the [Court of Humanity](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/court-of-humanity.html).
- The political-incentive infrastructure for replacing terminated officials is [Incentive Alignment Bonds](../../knowledge/solution/incentive-alignment-bonds.llms.md)^([11](../references.llms.md#ref-iab-paper-2025)).
- The companion document for ordinary citizens is [The Funniest Joke in the Universe](../../knowledge/appendix/joke.llms.md): the shirt that triggers the conversations that produce the verified signatures that activate this notice.

1\.

Olson, M. *The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and the Theory of Groups*. (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1965).

2\.

Gilens, M. & Page, B. I. [Testing theories of american politics: Elites, interest groups, and average citizens](https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592714001595). *Perspectives on Politics* **12**, 564–581 (2014).

3\.

Copenhagen Consensus. [Halftime for SDGs: Child immunization](https://copenhagenconsensus.com/publication/halftime-sdgs-child-immunization). (2023).

4\.

Sinn, M. P. *Wishocracy: Solving the Democratic Principal-Agent Problem Through Pairwise Preference Aggregation*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/wishocracy-paper.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.18205881](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18205881)

*Representative democracy suffers from an inescapable principal-agent problem where elected officials’ incentives diverge from citizen welfare. Wishocracy introduces RAPPA (Randomized Aggregated Pairwise Preference Allocation), which aggregates citizen preferences through cognitively tractable pairwise comparisons and creates accountability via Citizen Alignment Scores that channel electoral resources toward politicians who actually represent what citizens want.*

5\.

Sinn, M. P. *Optimocracy: Causal Inference on Cross-Jurisdictional Policy Data to Maximize Median Health and Wealth*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimocracy-paper.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.18356213](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18356213)

*Thousands of jurisdictions have made different policy and budget choices over decades, creating a natural experiment. Optimocracy applies causal inference to this cross-jurisdictional time-series data to identify which policies predict above-average median income and healthy life years. It then publishes evidence-based recommendations for every major vote, tracks politician alignment, and funds aligned candidates via SuperPAC, making suboptimal policy politically expensive while preserving democratic structures.*

6\.

Sinn, M. P. *The Optimal Policy Generator: A Causal Inference Protocol for Maximizing Median Health and Wealth Through Public Policy*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimal-policy-generator-spec.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.18603834](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18603834)

*The Optimal Policy Generator (OPG) produces systematic public policy recommendations for jurisdictions at any level (country, state, city), generating prioritized enact/replace/repeal/maintain recommendations to maximize real after-tax median income growth and median healthy life years, based on quasi-experimental evidence from centuries of policy variation data.*

7\.

Sinn, M. P. *The Optimal Budget Generator: A Causal Inference Protocol for Maximizing Median Health and Wealth Through Public Goods Funding*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/optimal-budget-generator-spec.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.18356209](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18356209)

*The Optimal Budget Generator (OBG) uses causal inference, diminishing returns modeling, and cost-effectiveness evidence to determine optimal public goods funding levels that maximize two welfare metrics: real after-tax median income growth and median healthy life years. For each spending category, OBG estimates an Optimal Spending Level (OSL) and produces a gap analysis showing where current government budgets are over- or underfunded relative to evidence-based benchmarks. The Budget Impact Score (BIS) measures confidence in each recommendation based on the quality of causal evidence.*

8\.

Sinn, M. P. *The Earth Optimization Prize*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/strategy/earth-optimization-prize.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.19076597](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19076597)

*Reward humanity for raising healthy life years and median income within 15 years. PRIZE keeps depositors on the failure branch, VOTE rewards recruiters on the success branch, and Earth Optimization Protocol v1 is only the current instruction manual for trying to win.*

9\.

Sinn, M. P. *The 1% Treaty*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.20076511](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20076511)

*Your governments possess nuclear weapons sufficient to end civilization 122 times but have not cured Alzheimer’s once. This treaty asks them to be 1% more rational.*

10\.

Sinn, M. P. *The 1% Treaty: An Incentive-Compatible Approach to Ending War and Disease*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.18161560](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18161560)

*6,650 diseases have zero FDA-approved treatments; at current trial capacity, exploring them takes  443 years. Redirecting 1% of military spending scales capacity 12.3x, cutting the timeline to  36 years and preventing 10.7 billion deaths. At \$0.02/DALY, 9.3kx more cost-effective than the best existing interventions. The result holds across every specified adoption pathway.*

11\.

Sinn, M. P. *Incentive Alignment Bonds: Making Public Goods Financially and Politically Profitable*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/incentive-alignment-bonds-paper.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.18203221](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18203221)

*Government spending is optimized for lobbying intensity, not net societal value. Programs with 100:1 benefit-cost ratios get billions while programs with negative returns get hundreds of billions. Incentive Alignment Bonds flip this by creating a capital pool that rewards politicians (via campaign support and post-office opportunities) for funding high-NSV programs over low-NSV alternatives. The result: public good becomes private profit for both investors and elected officials.*

12\.

Sinn, M. P. *The Court of Humanity*. <https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/court-of-humanity.html> (2025) doi:[10.5281/zenodo.20075681](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20075681)

*A decentralized court where 8 billion humans are the jury, sovereign immunity is a choice nobody chose, and  \$104 quadrillion in unliquidated wrongful-death exposure makes the 1% Treaty the most generous settlement offer in legal history.*

13\.

Cato Institute. Chance of dying from terrorism statistic. *Cato Institute: Terrorism and Immigration Risk Analysis* <https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/terrorism-immigration-risk-analysis>

*Chance of American dying in foreign-born terrorist attack: 1 in 3.6 million per year (1975-2015) Including 9/11 deaths; annual murder rate is 253x higher than terrorism death rate More likely to die from lightning strike than foreign terrorism Note: Comprehensive 41-year study shows terrorism risk is extremely low compared to everyday dangers Additional sources: https://www.cato.org/policy-analysis/terrorism-immigration-risk-analysis \| https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/you-re-more-likely-die-choking-be-killed-foreign-terrorists-n715141*

.